Breaking
Republican Senate Incumbents Market Jumps 15.1pp to 98.5% on Whale Buying
Whales added $3K into YES as Polymarket sharply reprices odds for two 2026 nominating defeats.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 18 pp despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour sell-off in YES contracts on Polymarket’s Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Riz Ahmed Emmy Odds Drop 33pp to 16.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's market on Riz Ahmed winning an Emmy fell sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move, signaling conflicting views on his chances.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Add $195K to Spain 2026 World Cup Win Bets Despite 20.9% Market Price
Net whale flow into Spain's win market diverges from a lower implied probability in $103M volume arena closing in 10 days.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI model odds jump 30pp to 44.5% as whale buys support move
Polymarket’s “best Math AI model” market rises sharply with $6K whale net inflow confirming the price surge.
Jul 11
Breaking
Linda Nosková’s Wimbledon 2026 Odds Surge 46.5 Points to 92.2% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp rise with $26K net inflow into YES contracts amid $60K total volume.
Jul 11
Breaking
Grok Model Market YES Price Plummets 85pp to 1.1% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged sharply from the dramatic drop in odds for xAI’s next Grok model debuting at 1460 or above by end of 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Anthropic Math AI odds drop 32pp to 48.5% despite $10K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp Polymarket price decline on Anthropic's AI model market, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 11
Breaking
Odds for Linda Nosková winning 2026 Women’s Wimbledon jump 51.5pp to 97.3%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price rise as bets poured into Nosková’s Wimbledon victory market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on next GPT model debut plunges 87pp despite $20K whale inflow
Whales bought $20K in YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price dropped from 87.0% to 0.05% in 24 hours, signaling a sharp divergence between price action and whale activity.
Jul 11