Breaking
Next Grok Model’s 1460+ Score Odds Drop 19pp as Whale Flow Diverges
YES price on xAI Grok model debut plunges from 20.1% to 1.1% despite whale inactivity, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Kash Patel out by December 31? YES price jumps 25pp with whale buying
Odds for Kash Patel exiting by year-end rose sharply to 61.5%, backed by $15K whale net inflows
Jul 11
Whales
Whale Buys $459K on England to Win Despite 51.6% Market Odds
A single wallet placed $1.53M in seven large trades backing England in the Norway vs. England market, aligning with strong whale buying trends.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES odds jump 16pp to 52.5% amid $14K whale inflow
Whale buying and price movement aligned as market odds shifted sharply above 50%, signaling growing conviction
Jul 11
Breaking
Linda Nosková’s 2026 Wimbledon Winner Odds Jump 54.8pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $69K into YES contracts aligned with a full-price surge despite on-chain mid at 20%.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales bet $808K on Belgium to win 2026 World Cup despite 0.05% market price
Large investors have pushed $808K into YES on Belgium, diverging sharply from the market's low implied probability.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES contract jumps 19.5 points to 56%
Whales bought $14K into the YES side, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
Linda Nosková’s Wimbledon 2026 odds jump 54.8 pp to 100% as whales back YES
Whale activity and price moved in sync with a $67K net inflow into YES contracts pushing odds from 45.1% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
Karolína Muchová Wimbledon 2026 YES price plunges 45.1pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Whale activity pushed $71K into YES contracts even as Polymarket prices the outcome sharply lower, highlighting a split market view.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket YES Price for Next GPT Model Score Plummets 92.1pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Despite a sharp 92.1 percentage point drop in the YES price, whale activity did not follow the selloff, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 11