Breaking

Odds for Linda Nosková winning 2026 Women’s Wimbledon jump 51.5pp to 97.3%

Whale activity aligned with a sharp price rise as bets poured into Nosková’s Wimbledon victory market.

The market question “Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?” saw its YES contract price surge by 51.5 percentage points within 24 hours, climbing from 45.8% to 97.3% on Polymarket’s Breaking feed as of July 11.

This dramatic repricing was supported by whale activity, which aligned with the price movement. Whales contributed a net inflow of $21K into YES positions, with $33K in buy volume against $12K in sell volume. The market saw participation from 74 unique whales during this period.

The 24-hour trading volume for this contract reached $47K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $627K and involving 571 unique traders overall.

Interestingly, the Polymarket Breaking YES price of 97.3% contrasts with the Polydata on-chain mid-price of 20.0%, indicating a significant divergence between the market’s current betting odds and the on-chain valuation.

The convergence of whale buying pressure and the sharp increase in YES price reflects strong market conviction behind Nosková’s chances in this event, with substantial capital reinforcing the shift. This combination signals robust confidence from large traders backing the outcome within the last day.

Market Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Market ID 1088122
24h price change +51.5 pp
YES now (PM Breaking) 97.3%
YES ~24h ago (est.) 45.8%
YES (Polydata overview) 20.0%
Whale net flow (24h) $21K
Whale buy / sell (24h) $33K / $12K
Unique whales (24h) 74
Volume 24h (PM) $47K
Unique traders (Polydata) 571

Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-11. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.

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