Polymarket’s market on whether Linda Nosková will win the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon saw its YES contract price soar 54.8 percentage points in the last 24 hours, rising from 45.1% to a full 100.0% as of July 11. This dramatic repricing was accompanied by substantial whale activity, with $105K in buy volume and $36K in sell volume, resulting in a net $69K inflow into YES positions from 257 unique whales.
The 24-hour trading volume on this market totaled $151K, contributing to a lifetime volume of $778K and involving 1,368 unique traders overall. Notably, the sharp price increase on Polymarket contrasts with the on-chain mid-price from Polydata, which remains at 20.0%, highlighting a significant divergence between the Polymarket price and the broader on-chain sentiment.
Whale flow aligned with the price movement, confirming the rapid revaluation of Nosková’s chances among large traders. This synchronization between whale buying and the tape suggests a strong consensus within this group pushing the market to a maximal valuation. Given the scale of the price jump and concentrated whale interest, the market now fully prices in Nosková’s victory at Wimbledon 2026, signaling a decisive shift in participant expectations on Polymarket despite the contrasting on-chain mid-price.
| Market | Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 1088122 |
| 24h price change | +54.8 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 45.1% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 20.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $69K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $105K / $36K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 257 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $151K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 1,368 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-11. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.