Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate Exit Odds Drop 20pp Despite $20K Whale Buy
Whales poured $20K into YES contracts even as market odds tumbled from 49.5% to 29.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 32.2 pp to 58.6% with whale buying support
Whales contributed $4K net into YES as Polymarket traders sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 38.3 pp to 56.8% with whale buying aligned
Whales contributed $4K net inflow into YES as market sharply repriced likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES price jumps 41pp to 67.5%
Whale trading aligned with sharp odds shift as market reassesses likelihood of conflict on July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price jumps 25.1pp to 87.6%
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise with $1K net buying into YES on Polymarket’s $131K volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 46.5 points to 74% as whales back move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” market sees aligned whale flow and price jump, reflecting sharp repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds fall 18.2 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?” contract dropped sharply
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 53.9pp to 92.3% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $12K net buying, reinforcing a sharp shift in market odds over 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
McConnell Senate Exit Odds Drop 17pp Despite $15K Whale Bet on YES
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 17.0 pp decline in YES price, signaling mixed conviction in McConnell stepping down early.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 68 points to 77.5% on Polymarket
Strong whale buying aligned with a sharp rise in probability for Iran's military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12