Breaking
Anthropic Math AI market jumps 25pp as whales buy $3K into YES
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise boosting YES to 78.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
$285K Net Whale Flow into YES on Argentina World Cup Win Against 17.9% Market Price
Whales have pushed $285K net into YES bets for Argentina despite a market-implied probability of just 17.9%, highlighting divergence between big traders and the broader market.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market slips 17pp as whales buy against price trend
Polymarket's 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?' YES contract fell from 49.5% to 32.5%, while whale buying surged $113K.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July odds drop 19pp as whales buy $6K into YES on Polymarket
Price on Polymarket fell sharply while whale activity increased, signaling conflicting signals on Bitcoin's July rally chance.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 50pp to 66.8% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp rise in market-implied probability for Iran Gulf conflict on July 9
Jul 13
Weather
Weather trading hits $221K as Chengdu forecast gap reaches 3.3°C
Chengdu leads weather markets with largest forecast disagreement amid $221K total volume in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran Oil Sanction Relief Odds Jump 15pp to 37.5% on Whale-Aligned Buying
Polymarket’s latest shift on US reissuing Iran oil sanctions relief by July 31 reflects synchronized whale activity and price movement.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 dip in July jumps 20.5pp to 96.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $13K net inflow into YES as the market reevaluated odds sharply higher.
Jul 13
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate vote odds jump 19.5 pp to 33% with whale support
Polymarket’s “Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?” market doubled its odds as whale flow reinforced the price surge.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.5 points to 79% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices climbed in tandem, signaling a sharp reassessment of conflict risk on July 13.
Jul 13