The Polymarket question “Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES contract price surge by 39.9 percentage points over the past 24 hours, rising from an estimated 54.0% to 93.8% as of the July 14 snapshot. This sharp repricing reflects a significant shift in market consensus toward the likelihood that the funding threshold will be met.
Whale activity aligned with this price move, indicating that large traders supported the shift rather than opposing it. The flow data shows net buying into YES positions, reinforcing the upward momentum in the contract’s implied probability. The 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket for this market reached $68K, demonstrating active engagement amid the price movement.
This coordinated rise in both whale flow and price suggests growing conviction among major market participants about the Credible public sale passing the $25 million commitment mark. The combined price and flow dynamics point to a substantial recalibration of expectations, with the market now pricing in a high likelihood of success for this funding milestone.
| Market | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845811 |
| 24h price change | +39.9 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 93.8% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 54.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $68K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.