The market for whether Pamela Evette will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator saw its YES price collapse by 32.3 percentage points in the past 24 hours, falling from 32.4% to just 0.05% on Polymarket.
This dramatic repricing occurred amid $22K in 24-hour trading volume but was not accompanied by whale buying activity. On the contrary, whale flow diverged from the price move, with no net capital directed into YES contracts as prices fell. This disconnect between large trader behavior and the tape highlights a rare divergence in market sentiment.
The sharp decline in YES price suggests traders broadly lost confidence in Evette’s chances of replacing Graham.
This combination of a steep price drop and diverging whale flow points to a complex market dynamic rather than a straightforward consensus shift. The market appears to be pricing in a near-zero probability for Evette’s Senate replacement bid, but the hesitation or neutrality among whales leaves open questions about conviction behind this shift.
Overall, the data signals a significant revaluation of Evette’s prospects with notable uncertainty among large traders, marking this market as one to watch for further developments in sentiment and flow alignment.
| Market | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2896160 |
| 24h price change | +32.3 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 0.05% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 32.4% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $22K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.