Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena score jumps 17.5 pp to 44.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the price surge, adding $2K net into YES amid $6K total volume in 24 hours.
Jul 9
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
‘Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?’ YES price jumps 20.5 pp to 70.5% on aligned whale buying
Whales contributed a $6K net inflow to YES contracts as Polymarket’s odds surged, despite a 23.0% on-chain mid-price divergence.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?” odds drop 22pp despite $3K whale buy
Polymarket's YES price plunged from 67.5% to 45.5% even as whales added $3K in net buys, revealing a rare divergence between price action and whale flow.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 27.9pp as whales buy $10K in YES despite price drop
Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market sees YES contract fall sharply while whale activity flows into the same outcome, signaling conflicting signals on event likelihood.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price falls 17 pp amid whale-buy divergence
Despite a 17.0 pp plunge in the YES price to 1.1%, whales increased their net $9K bets on the outcome, signaling conflicting signals in the Polymarket market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Odds Drop 40.4 Points Amid Whale Buying Divergence
YES price on Polymarket plunged from 52.4% to 12.0% while whales added $9K into YES, creating a sharp flow-price disconnect.
Jul 9
Breaking
Polymarket ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?’ YES price drops 26.6 pp despite whale buying
Whales bought $9K in YES contracts even as market price plunged from 28.6% to 2.1%, signaling a divergence between big-money flow and price action.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 release odds plunge 41.5pp to 10.9% despite $9K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 41.5 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Google Gemini Pro release market.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price drops 20.7pp amid whale-buy flow divergence
Whales bought $9K into YES contracts while market odds plunged from 22.8% to 2.1%, signaling a sharp mismatch between price action and large trader behavior.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price plunges 44.5 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
While the YES contract dropped from 92.5% to 48.0%, whales added $867 net into YES, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9