Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price plunges 33.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 33.9 percentage point drop in the YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Whales
Whales Net $800K on Switzerland Win at 2.1% Market Price
Large traders have poured $800K into Switzerland winning the 2026 World Cup, diverging sharply from the market's 2.1% implied probability.
Jul 9
Whales
$800K Buy on Switzerland 2026 World Cup Win Defies 2.1% Market Odds
A single large purchase by 0x4fa1…885a bucks consensus in a high-volume World Cup Winner market.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales push $2.80M into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 2.1% price
Significant whale buying diverges from the market-implied 2.1% chance for Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Bet $4.82M on Egypt Winning 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
A $4.82M net inflow from whales into YES contrasts sharply with the market’s 0.05% implied probability for Egypt's 2026 World Cup victory.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales push $1.62M into YES on Argentina World Cup win despite 18.4% market price
Large whale bets diverge from market pricing on Argentina’s chances in 2026 FIFA World Cup with $1.62M net inflow into YES.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales add $370K to Colombia World Cup 2026 YES at 0.05% market price
Despite a market-implied probability of 0.05%, whales have net bought $370K on Colombia winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the last 24 hours.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Load $2.32M Into Switzerland 2026 World Cup Win Despite 2.1% Market Price
A $2.32M net inflow from whales contrasts with the market-implied 2.1% chance for Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 7
Whales
Wallet 0x09b4…7320 places $559K bet against 34.5% market chance on US win
The wallet’s $559K buy on United States vs. Belgium pushes contrary to consensus amid broader whale buying.
Jul 7
Whales
$7.47M Whale Inflow into Egypt Win Market Defies 1.7% Price
Despite a low market-implied probability, whales have directed $7.47M net into Egypt winning the 2026 World Cup over 24 hours.
Jul 7