Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?” YES price jumps 63.6pp to 91.1%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge on Polymarket, lifting odds from 27.5% to 91.1%.
Jul 14
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market Drops 21pp as Whale Flow Diverges from Price
Polymarket’s price for Ed Miliband becoming UK Chancellor fell sharply despite $4K whale net buying, signaling mixed signals from large traders and market pricing.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” YES price jumps 37 pp to 83.0% with whale flow support
Whales added a net $12K into YES as market odds surged from 46.0% to 83.0%, signaling strong conviction on Ethereum’s near-term price target.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES price jumps 87.5 pp to 96.4% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise with $7K net flow into YES contracts amid $57K total volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Inflation Market Surges 98.5pp to 100% on Polymarket with $26K Whale Inflow
Whales and price action aligned as annual inflation odds for June jumped sharply, signaling strong conviction in a low inflation outcome.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market Drops 26.5pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for Ed Miliband as UK Chancellor fell from 68.5% to 42.0% despite whales buying $3K net into the contract.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 33.9 points to 97.4% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz tumbles 75.7pp to 20.1% amid whale buying divergence
Polymarket’s market sharply cuts odds while whale flow pushes YES contracts, signaling a split between price and large trader sentiment.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales Add $494K to France 2026 World Cup Win Bets Despite 39.1% Market Price
Net whale inflow into France’s 2026 World Cup win market sharply contrasts with its sub-40% market-implied probability.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” YES price jumps 35.5pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whales added $5K net into YES contracts, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge amid moderate overall volume.
Jul 14