Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Hormuz ship transit plunges 53.2 pp despite $31K whale buying
Sharp 24-hour drop in YES price clashes with whale flow, revealing market uncertainty on Strait of Hormuz transit
Jul 14
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” YES jumps 35.3pp to 96.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts moved in sync as market odds surged, signaling strong conviction in Bitcoin hitting $65K this month.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 Ships Transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, Drop 62.5pp Amid Whale-Price Divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract price fell sharply despite $31K whale net inflow betting on the outcome, signaling a split between market prices and whale behavior.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 58.2 pp in 24 hours
Whale buying diverged sharply from price drop as YES shares fell from 95.4% to 37.2%, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price plunges 48.6 pp to 46.8% on Hormuz transit market as whale flow diverges
Whale buying of $30K contrasts with sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket odds for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July YES jumps 42.5 pp to 93% as whales back the surge
Whales added a net $13K into YES contracts as Polymarket’s price nearly doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong alignment between big-money flow and market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July YES Contract Jumps 39.5 Points on Polymarket
Whale buying matched the sharp 24-hour rise from 49.5% to 89.0% in YES price, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales Add $248K Net to YES on England Winning 2026 World Cup at 21.4% Price
Despite a market-implied probability of 21.4%, whales have pushed $248K net into YES positions over the past 24 hours on England's 2026 World Cup win.
Jul 14
Breaking
‘Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?’ YES jumps 49.7 points on aligned whale buying
Whales pushed $3K net into YES as the contract’s probability more than doubled to 94.7% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 46.9pp to 99.4%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, signaling near certainty in the market over 24 hours.
Jul 14