Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 58.2 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as the market’s probability collapsed from near certainty to under 40%.
Jul 14
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price jumps 60.7 pp to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic surge in market odds, pushing the probability from 39.3% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Inflation market surges 98.4 points to 100% as whales back June outcome
Polymarket's annual inflation contract jumps from 1.6% to 100% YES price with $21K whale net inflow confirming the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Core CPI YoY June YES price plunges 54.5 pp to 0.50% amid whale flow divergence
Whales bought $3K into YES even as Polymarket's price dropped sharply, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket inflation odds jump 15.6pp to 66.0% with whale buying support
Whales contributed a net $6K into YES as the market sharply repriced annual inflation at 3.8% for June.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” YES price falls 28.6 pp despite whale buying
The market’s YES price dropped sharply from 44.1% to 15.6% in 24 hours while whale flows diverged, signaling conflicting signals on the contract.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 50pp to 84.5% on Polymarket with aligned whale buying
Whales contributed $5K net buying into YES as the market price soared from 34.5% to 84.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
“No next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?” YES jumps 19pp to 63.5% with whale buying
Whales added a net $4K into YES as the market surged from 44.5% to 63.5% in 24 hours, moving in sync with price action.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 53pp to 87.5%
Whales contributed $19K net buying as odds surged from 34.5% to 87.5%, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 52.5 points to 81% amid $5K whale buys
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket’s Iran military action market, pushing YES odds from 28.5% to 81%.
Jul 14