Breaking
Fed 25bps rate hike odds plunge 28.4pp as whales buy $883K YES despite price drop
Whale buying diverged from sharply falling YES price in Fed rate hike market, signaling complex repositioning.
Jul 15
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 43pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract fell from 91.5% to 48.5% despite whales not backing the decline.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Contract Surges 40.5pp to 92% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp rise with $18K net buys, confirming the rapid repricing of the July ETH price target.
Jul 15
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth YES Price Crashes 55.9pp Despite $11K Whale Bets
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 56pp plunge in the YES price on Polymarket, signaling conflicting signals on China’s economic outlook.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rates Steady After July 2026 Meeting Jumps 28.5pp to 92.5% on Whale Buying
Whales pushed $2.30M into YES as Polymarket odds for no Fed rate change surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 39.5pp to 94.5% amid aligned whale buying
Polymarket’s odds for Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 15 jumped sharply as whale flows supported the move, despite a large on-chain price discrepancy.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor YES Price Plummets 49pp While Whales Buy $25K
Whale buying diverges sharply from a 49pp drop in Ed Miliband’s Chancellor odds, revealing a split in market sentiment.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds plunge 28.1pp despite $880K whale buys on Polymarket
Whale buying diverged from sharp price drop in Fed July 2026 rate hike market, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup halftime YES price drops 44pp despite $3K whale buying
Whales bought $3K in YES contracts even as Polymarket price fell from 72.0% to 28.1% in 24 hours, diverging from on-chain flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 30.5pp as whales back YES contracts
Whale buying and price jumps aligned as Polymarket’s Iran Gulf State conflict odds rose sharply.
Jul 15