“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price plunges 47.3 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s contract on Iran’s targeting of shipping dropped from 55.0% to 7.7% despite $4K whale bets into YES, signaling a sharp market rethink.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on Iran’s targeting of shipping dropped from 55.0% to 7.7% despite $4K whale bets into YES, signaling a sharp market rethink.
Whales bought $33K into YES as Polymarket’s price for Mbappé winning the 2026 Golden Ball dropped from 40.5% to 2.9%.
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise on Polymarket’s July 2026 hottest month market, lifting YES odds from 57.0% to 80.5%.
Whales bought $26K in YES contracts even as Polymarket Breaking price plunged from 62.0% to 15.0% in 24 hours, signaling a sharp divergence between flow and price.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 33-point rise in YES price, pushing markets to price a strong chance of Ethereum hitting $1,900 this month.
While the YES price for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in July fell sharply, whale buying pushed the contract higher, creating a notable split.
Whale buying of $11K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing odds from 45.0% to 80.5%.
Whales and retail traders pushed the price sharply higher, with $14K traded in 24 hours and a notable divergence from on-chain mid-price.
Whales matched the sharp 24-hour rise in odds for Ethereum hitting $1,900, adding $18K net to YES positions amid $39K total volume.
Whales bought $50 in YES contracts even as market odds fell sharply from 56.5% to 30.5% in 24 hours.