Breaking
NVIDIA largest company odds drop 15pp to 55.5% despite $29K whale buy flow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 15.0 pp decline in YES price on Polymarket for NVIDIA's market cap lead by July 31.
Jul 18
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Claude Opus Model Release Odds Jump 18pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity supported the surge as the market recalibrated toward a July 31, 2026 release date for the Claude Opus model.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 36pp to 82.5% with $14K whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 36pp rise in YES price, driving the market toward a higher probability on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 31.9pp despite $18K whale buy-in
Polymarket’s YES price for a July 17 launch collapsed from 32.0% to 0.05%, while whales added $18K net into the contract, diverging from price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds collapse 95.5pp as whale bets diverge
YES price on SpaceX launch contract plunges from 95.5% to 0.05% despite $21K whale net buying, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 49pp as whales back YES with $14K net flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market more than doubled in probability amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22 release odds jump 25.5 points to 62%
Whale activity mirrored the sharp rise in YES price, reinforcing the market’s growing confidence.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 92.3pp to 0.15% in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from market price as Polymarket slashed chances of launch by July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 86.9pp Despite $28K Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?” market plunged from 87.0% to 0.15% even as whales bought $28K in YES contracts, signaling a sharp divergence between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price jump as contract volume hits $23K in 24 hours
Jul 17