Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 15.1pp to 3.4% amid divergent whale activity
Polymarket's price on a Trump-Netanyahu meeting by July 24, 2026, fell sharply despite whale flow moving against the decline.
Jul 18
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Odds Drop 16.4 Points Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite whales adding $18K to YES contracts, Bitcoin dip odds fell sharply from 87.5% to 71% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Apple as Largest Company on July 31? YES Jumps 15.4 Points to 50% on Whale Buying
Whales supported a sharp 24-hour rally in the market, pushing the probability from 34.6% to an even split at 50%.
Jul 18
Breaking
NVIDIA largest company market cap bet drops 17pp despite $39K whale inflow
Whale buying of $39K into YES contracts contrasts with a 17.0 pp price drop to 46.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 18
Breaking
Claude Opus July 24, 2026 Release Market Jumps 15.5 Points to 75%
Whale activity aligned with price surge, adding $859 net into YES as market bets on model release by late July 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Apple market cap odds jump 21.9 pp to 54.6% with whale buying support
Polymarket’s prediction for Apple as largest company by July 31 climbs sharply, backed by $15K whale net inflow.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?” YES price drops 15.4pp amid whale flow divergence
Whales bought $809 of YES contracts while Polymarket’s price fell from 25.0% to 9.6%, signaling conflicting signals in this geopolitical market.
Jul 18
Breaking
NVIDIA largest company bet odds drop 23 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a $39K whale net buy into YES, Polymarket odds for NVIDIA topping market cap by July 31 slid from 68.5% to 45.5%.
Jul 18
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 15pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?” market saw its YES price fall from 76.5% to 61.5% amid $59K volume, while whale flow diverged by supporting YES positions.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone Nominee Odds Surge 56.8 Points to 69% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in YES price for South Carolina Senate nomination market.
Jul 18