Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Polymarket’s “Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price despite $4K whale buying, highlighting tension between price moves and whale activity.
Whale flow diverged from a sharp market sell-off as Polymarket traders slashed odds on Iran abstaining from attacks by Sunday.
Whale trading flow diverged from price action as market odds fell sharply on Polymarket in 24 hours.
Large investors direct $198K net into Norway YES while market prices chance at 0.05%, highlighting a divergence between whale flow and crowd consensus.
Whales contributed $11K net buying as Polymarket sharply repriced odds for July 12 event
Whale bets on Iran military action rose while market prices sharply dropped from 53.5% to 28.3% in 24 hours.
Whales contributed $11K net buying in line with a dramatic 24-hour rise from 2.3% to 90.9% on Polymarket.
Whales boosted their bets alongside a sharp 30 percentage point rise in Polymarket odds for Russian capture by end of July.
Polymarket’s YES price for an LPL MSI 2026 victory falls from 56.5% to 0.05%, while whales add $36K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Market for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumps from 2.3% to 95.7% with whale buying supporting the move.
