Breaking
PayPal acquisition odds jump 52.5 points to 68% as whales back the move
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, signaling growing conviction on PayPal deal timing.
Jul 15
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 ‘No Successor’ Odds Drop 58pp to 33.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket’s 'no next Home Secretary' market saw a sharp 58 percentage point decline in YES price despite whales adding $6K net into YES contracts, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Russia capturing Pokrovka jumps 90.8 pp to 97.9%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $15K net inflow into YES amid $58K total 24h volume on the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 Market YES Price Drops 44.0 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased exposure by $4K to YES as the market price fell from 63.5% to 19.5%, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price dropped 34.5 pp in 24h
Whale flow diverged sharply from the price, signaling conflicting signals on Credible's public sale funding prospects.
Jul 15
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Drop 53.1pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
YES contract on Google Gemini Pro release fell sharply from 76.1% to 22.9% despite $4K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Surge 34.5 Points on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $22K net inflow as Ethereum price chance jumped from 56.5% to 91% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 23.6pp amid whale-buy divergence
While the YES price dropped from 27.5% to 3.9%, whales increased net buys by $44K, signaling a split between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 NO odds surge 24.5pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract for no next UK Foreign Secretary dropped from 63.5% to 39.0% despite $3K whale net buys in past 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES odds drop 27.6 pp to 8.5% amid whale-price divergence
Whales bought $4K in YES contracts even as market price fell sharply from 36.1% to 8.5%, signaling a split between big traders and broader market sentiment.
Jul 15