Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor odds surge 31.6 pp to 85.2% as whales back YES
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as Polymarket traders sharply raised the probability of Mahmood becoming UK Chancellor in 2026.
Jul 15
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 57.5 points despite whale buying
The market price for Iranian military action on July 13 dropped sharply from 90.5% to 33.0% while whale flow diverged by supporting YES positions.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Odds Surge 27.9pp to 84.4% with Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a 27.9 percentage point jump in YES price on Polymarket’s UK Chancellor 2026 question.
Jul 15
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 South Dakota GOP Primary Win Odds Drop 28.5pp Amid Whale Buying
Whale investors added $4K to YES contracts even as market probability plunged from 40% to 11.5%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 53pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract dropped from 90.0% to 37.0% despite whale buying diverging from price
Jul 15
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro release odds jump 55pp to 78.5% as whales back no-release
Whales aligned with a sharp 55.0 pp rise in the chance that no next Google Gemini Pro model arrives by July 31, 2026, pushing the market price to 78.5%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 23pp despite $4K whale bets on YES
Whale activity diverged from price, as market’s YES probability dropped sharply from 27.5% to 4.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price plunges 73.5pp to 18% on UK Home Secretary market despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp price drop on Polymarket’s UK Home Secretary 2026 contract, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 15
Breaking
Nike World Cup shirt maker odds plunge 37.5pp as whale flow diverges
The market's YES price for Nike dropped from 58.5% to 21.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale activity.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026 drop 28.5 pp despite $4K whale buying
Whales bought $4K into YES as its price fell sharply from 63.0% to 34.5%, signaling a divergence between big bets and market odds.
Jul 15