Breaking
Nike World Cup shirt contract tumbles 22.9 pp as whale flow diverges from price
The market price for Nike as 2026 World Cup shirt maker dropped from 23.0% to 0.05%, while whales increased their YES bets by $3K.
Jul 15
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood’s Odds Surge 28.7pp to 81.5% on Polymarket Amid Whale Buying
Whale activity and price movement aligned as confidence in Mahmood’s 2026 Chancellor bid surged sharply in one day.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 63 points amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' market saw a sharp 24.5% YES price despite whales moving against the price shift.
Jul 15
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 SD Governor GOP Primary Odds Drop 33.5 Points Despite $4K Whale Buys
Whale trading and price action diverged sharply as the YES price plunged from 40.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 36.5 points amid whale-buy sell split
Polymarket’s contract on the absence of a UK Home Secretary in 2026 dropped sharply despite whales adding $7K net to YES positions, signaling a divergence between price action and large trader flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran withdrawal from MOU odds drop 18pp to 15.5% despite $201K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18 percentage point decline in Polymarket’s odds for Iran exiting negotiations by July 31.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz transit drops 19.9pp as whale flow diverges
The market for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, fell sharply despite whales increasing YES bets.
Jul 15
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds drop 22.6 pp to 63.6% despite $2K whale buy-in
Whale activity diverged from sharp 24-hour price decline, signaling mixed signals on Alibaba's AI prospects.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Home Secretary Market YES Price Plunges 34.5 Points Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 34.5 percentage point drop in the YES price, whales increased their net bets by $7K, signaling conflicting signals on the UK Home Secretary question.
Jul 15
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 31.8pp on Polymarket
Whales contributed $4K net buying as YES price surged from 10.0% to 41.8%, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 15