Breaking
Post Malone World Cup halftime show odds plunge 39pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 39.0 pp drop in YES price, whale buying activity moved counter to the market's repricing on Polymarket.
Jul 16
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds plunge 30.2 pp to 52.0% despite $3K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 30.2 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Chinese AI model market.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market YES Price Drops 21.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 21.5 percentage point decline in the market’s YES price for no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Home Secretary Market Sees 42.5pp Drop in YES Price Despite $7K Whale Buy
Whale buying diverges from a sharp 42.5 percentage point fall in the market’s YES price for no next UK Home Secretary in 2026.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 64.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” market saw a sharp 24-hour drop in YES price despite whale bets opposing the move.
Jul 15
Breaking
Messi Golden Ball odds surge 46.7pp to 89.5% on Polymarket with whale flow confirming
A sharp 46.7 percentage point jump in Lionel Messi's 2026 Golden Ball market price was backed by $96K whale net buying, aligning big-money bets with the price move.
Jul 15
Breaking
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YES jumps 32.9 pp to 40.2%
Whales backed the surge with $4K net buying, aligning strongly with the rapid odds increase on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 40.1pp to 83.2% on Whale Buying
Whales added $37K to YES contracts as market odds for Mahmood as UK Chancellor in 2026 surged sharply.
Jul 15
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 South Dakota GOP Primary Odds Drop 30pp Despite $4K Whale Bet
Whales increased YES positions by $4K while the market price for Toby Doeden to win plunged from 40.0% to 10.0%.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market YES Price Drops 37pp Despite $4K Whale Buying
Whales bought $4K into the YES side even as its probability plunged from 57.5% to 20.5% in 24 hours, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 15