Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor odds jump 54.2 pp to 59.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a major price surge, signaling a rapid shift in market sentiment for the 2026 UK Chancellor question.
Jul 14
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?” YES price drops 58pp to 10.5% amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s price for US charging Hormuz fees tumbles sharply while whale activity contradicts the sell-off, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Ed Miliband be Chancellor in 2026?” YES price plunges 52.5pp amid whale flow divergence
Whale investors added $23K to YES contracts even as market price dropped from 68.5% to 16.0%, signaling conflicting signals on Ed Miliband’s chances.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 44.9 points amid whale flow divergence
The YES contract dropped from 51.5% to 6.7% while whale net buying pushed $39K into YES, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for ‘No Next UK Home Secretary in 2026’ Drop 62pp to 29.5% Amid Whale-Tape Divergence
Polymarket’s ‘No Next Home Secretary’ market saw a sharp 62pp decline in YES price over 24 hours, while whale flows modestly supported the position.
Jul 14
Breaking
“No Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES Odds Plunge 71pp to 20.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for no next Home Secretary in 2026 dropped sharply while whale buying modestly increased, signaling a split between price action and large trader sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 37.5 Points Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's “Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” contract fell from 72.0% to 34.5% despite whale activity diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 56.5 pp to 68.0%
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds, pushing the market from 11.5% to 68.0% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israeli parliament dissolution odds surge 63.6 pp to 68.1% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price jump on the July 16 dissolution question, pushing confidence higher.
Jul 14
Breaking
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? YES price surges 86.8pp to 95.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s contract on Pokrovka capture sees a dramatic shift as whales back the surge with $13K net buys.
Jul 14