Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on Credible public sale funding sees a sharp 30.5 pp price decline while whale activity moves contrary to the price direction.
Whale trading aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise in odds, signaling growing conviction in dissolution by mid-July.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw a sharp jump in YES price alongside $3K net whale inflows.
Whale activity of $3K net inflow into YES contracts tracked the sharp price rise amid a $6K 24-hour volume surge.
Whale activity matched the sharp price increase as YES contracts surged from 50.0% to 90.5% in 24 hours.
Polymarket's Ethereum price target contract nearly doubles in odds as whale buying aligns with the sharp price rally.
Polymarket's contract on 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, sees a sharp price drop to 41.0%, while whales add $37K to YES positions.
Whales contributed $16K net buying as the contract’s odds surged sharply, confirming the price move.
Whale trading diverged sharply from a 55 percentage point drop in the odds for US charging Hormuz fees by end-2026.
Whales added $14K net to YES as odds surged from 47.5% to 90.5%, aligning flow with price action.
