Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 28.6 points to 95.1% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES price jumps 86.3 pp to 95.1% amid whale buying
Whales supported a massive 24-hour surge in odds, pushing the YES contract from 8.8% to 95.1% on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July Dip Odds Slide 22pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket's Bitcoin dip market sees a sharp 22 percentage point drop in YES price as whale activity moves against the price trend.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Houthis targeting shipping drops 54.9 pp in 24h
Whale flow diverged sharply as odds plunged from 70.5% to 15.7%, signaling market skepticism despite whale buying.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show YES Price Jumps 26.8pp to 59.6% with Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 26.8 percentage point rise in odds for Sabrina Carpenter’s 2026 FIFA World Cup halftime show appearance.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 53.5 Points as Whales Back YES
Polymarket's odds for military action on July 14 leapt from 36.0% to 89.5% with $4K whale net inflow confirming the sharp repricing.
Jul 14
Breaking
US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17.5 pp despite $42K whale buy flow
Polymarket's YES price for a US-Iran meeting by July 31, 2026, fell sharply while whales increased their YES exposure, signaling a market split.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?” YES price drops 30pp despite whale buy-in
Polymarket’s contract on US sanction relief for Iran fell from 38.0% to 8.0% even as whales increased YES exposure, showing a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 54pp as whales back YES with $4K net flow
Polymarket’s contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14 saw a sharp price jump aligned with whale buying, signaling a rapid shift in market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 44.4 pp to 97.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in odds, pushing the market close to certainty.
Jul 14