Breaking
“Nothing Ever Happens: July” YES price jumps 27.5pp to 91% with $5K whale inflow
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in odds, pushing the YES price from 63.5% to 91%, signaling strong conviction in this outcome.
Jul 15
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket YES Price on US Hormuz Fees Drops 25pp Despite Whale Flow
The market's YES contract for US charging Hormuz fees by end-2026 fell sharply while whale bets diverged from the price move.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary market YES odds plunge 28.5pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 28.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity pushed $4K into YES, signaling conflicting signals in the UK Foreign Secretary market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Plunge 57.6pp Despite Whale Buying
YES contract for Gemini Pro release fell from 73.8% to 16.2% while whales added $4K to YES positions, diverging from price action.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market Sees 53.5pp Slide to 15% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales increased YES exposure by $26K even as Polymarket's price for Ed Miliband as Chancellor plunged from 68.5% to 15%.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price plunges 41.6 pp despite $4K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from the sharp market sell-off, signaling a split in conviction over the event’s likelihood.
Jul 15
Breaking
Israeli Parliament Dissolution Odds Surge 36.6 Points to 80.2% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, pushing the market sharply higher on dissolution by July 16.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket Core CPI July YES Price Drops 24pp Despite Whale Selling
The market pricing for July's 0.2% Core CPI MoM fell from 64.5% to 40.5%, diverging from whale flow that moved against the price shift.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?” odds drop 19pp to 16.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from price as the market’s chance of $40M public sale commitment fell despite minimal YES-side bets.
Jul 15
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July Dip Odds Drop 27pp to 33.5% as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?” contract fell sharply despite minimal whale support, signaling retail-driven repricing.
Jul 15