Breaking
Odds for Claude Opus Model Release by July 31, 2026 Jump 18.5 Points
Whale trading activity aligned with an 18.5 percentage point price surge, pushing the YES contract to 81.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 17
#%swhale activity
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 90 stories.
Breaking
NVIDIA second-largest market cap odds jump 20.5pp to 36% as whales buy $5K YES
NVIDIA’s chance to be world’s second-largest company by July 31 sharply repriced alongside $28K whale buy volume in 24 hours
Jul 17
Breaking
“Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 42.0 pp in 24h
Polymarket’s contract surged from 39.5% to 81.5% as whale activity confirmed the rally amid $94K volume.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,800 July Dip Odds Soar 28.1pp to 89.1% on Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 28.1 percentage point jump in the 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?' YES contract, signaling strong conviction in the market move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot AI Model Odds Jump 16.3pp on $7K Whale Buying
Polymarket’s ‘best Chinese AI model’ market saw YES price rise from 30.4% to 46.8% alongside aligned whale flows.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 24.9 points on Polymarket
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K as market probability surged from 31.5% to 56.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract Drops 28pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's ‘Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?’ market saw YES price fall from 65.5% to 37.5% despite $8K whale buying in the past 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Market Slides 23.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July dropped from 67.5% to 44.0%, while whales added $6K net into YES, signaling a split between price and big-money bets.
Jul 16
Breaking
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire Odds Drop 47 Points Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket's ceasefire market saw a sharp 47.0 percentage point fall in YES price, while whale flow diverged by backing YES positions.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 45.5 points as whales diverge from price move
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 81.5% to 36.0% despite $12K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket flow and pricing.
Jul 16