Breaking
US Iran blockade market jumps 22.5 points as whales push YES to 44.5%
Whale buying of $95K drove a sharp 24-hour rise in odds for a US blockade on Iran by July 31, aligning with price moves.
Jul 11
#%sus-iran
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 14 stories.
Breaking
“US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” YES price dropped 15 pp despite $51K whale inflow
Whales bought $51K into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 60.5% to 45.5%, signaling a divergence between whale activity and price direction.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 15.5 points with $61K whale buying
Whales pushed $61K into YES as market repriced from 40.5% to 56.0% probability in 24 hours
Jul 10
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 19pp to 60.5% on whale buying
Whales fueled a sharp 24-hour rise in the Polymarket contract’s YES price, pushing it from 41.5% to 60.5%.
Jul 10