Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds tumble 33pp to 53.5% on Polymarket
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market saw a sharp 33pp drop in YES price despite whale activity diverging from the move.
Jul 20
#%sspacex
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 15 stories.
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds drop 50pp to 36.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 50pp price decline as market confidence in the July 23 launch waned.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds collapse 33pp to 0.05% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market odds plunged from 33.0% to near zero within 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 53.9 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?” contract dropped from 54.5% to 0.55% despite no whale buying in YES positions.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price falls 43.5 pp to 6% despite whale buying
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market sharply reprices lower while whale flow moves counter to the price drop.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 28.5 Points in 24 Hours
Despite a sharp decline in YES price to 18.0%, whale flow diverged by not supporting the move.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds drop 24.5 pp despite whale buying
Market price for Starship launch by July 20 fell sharply even as whale flow diverged, signaling skepticism among large traders.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price jumps 17.1pp to 90.1% as whales back the move
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing the launch probability from 73.0% to 90.1%.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 92.3pp to 0.15% in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from market price as Polymarket slashed chances of launch by July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 85pp despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off in SpaceX launch contract, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 17