Breaking
England’s 3rd Place Odds Surge 64.5 Points to 100% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the sharp price move, adding $49K net into YES contracts as the market fully repriced England’s World Cup finish.
Jul 19
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 72 stories.
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds drop 19pp to 42.5% despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” market saw a sharp 19.0 percentage point decline in YES price even as whale flow diverged by supporting YES.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for next Claude Opus release by July 22, 2026, drop 16pp to 51% despite whale buying
Price for 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?' fell sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 35pp as whale flow diverges from price
The YES contract for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? slipped from 75.0% to 40.0% despite $9K whale net buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin attendance odds at Taylor Swift’s wedding jump 23.9 pp with whale support
The YES price for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift’s wedding rose from 29.5% to 53.4%, backed by $5K whale net inflows over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s Nominee Odds Surge 54.1 Points on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in YES price to 66% for South Carolina Senate primary.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Attendance Odds Drop 18.1 Points Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Whales bought $10K into YES even as market price for attendance fell from 41.6% to 23.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA second-largest market cap odds jump 23.5 pp to 39% as whales back YES
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in YES price, signaling growing conviction in NVIDIA’s market cap rise by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 53.9pp while whales buy $11K on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged from sharp price drop, signaling conflicting views on Max Martin’s presence at Taylor Swift’s wedding.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES price jumps 15pp to 52.5% on Credible public sale market as whale flow backs move
Polymarket's 'Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?' contract climbed sharply with whale bets reinforcing the rally.
Jul 17