The market predicting whether NVIDIA will be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31 saw a substantial repricing, with the YES contract climbing 23.5 percentage points in 24 hours to 39.0% from 15.5%.
This price movement was supported by whale activity, which aligned with the rising odds. Over the same period, whales net invested $5K into YES, with buy volume at $29K outweighing $24K in sell volume. Forty-two unique whales participated, indicating broad high-stakes interest behind the move.
Polymarket’s 24-hour volume for this market was $28K, close to the whale buy volume alone, suggesting whales drove much of the recent trading. The market’s lifetime volume stands at $121K with 208 unique traders, showing a concentrated but active community engaging with this question.
This repricing reflects a notable shift in market sentiment and the influence of informed participants pushing the odds higher within a single day.
| Market | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2674076 |
| 24h price change | +23.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 39.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 15.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 39.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $5K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $29K / $24K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 42 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $28K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 208 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.