Breaking
‘Will HEROIC Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?’ YES price plunges 49.3 pp to 0.65%
The market’s sharp drop contrasts with whale activity, revealing conflicting signals on HEROIC’s LAN BLAST qualification odds.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 78 stories.
Breaking
58.5-Point Plunge in Bilibili MSI 2026 Odds Contrasts With $20K Whale Buy Flow
Despite a sharp drop in the YES price for Bilibili Gaming to 0.05%, whales have increased their net exposure by $20K, signaling a split between market pricing and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 23.8 Points Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?” contract sees a sharp 24-hour YES price decline while whale activity moves against the price trend.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 24pp to 55.5% as whales boost YES bets
Polymarket's latest pricing shows a sharp shift in expectations, backed by $24K net whale inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 20pp despite $41K whale buy flow
Whale buying on the US-Iran diplomatic meeting market diverged from a sharp 20pp decline in YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 jump 23 pp to 45.5% on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $144K net buys, aligning with the sharp price rise in the past 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Yes price on Hormuz ship transit market plunges 45.5 pp amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 24.5% price drop despite whale activity moving against it.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US warships through Strait of Hormuz rose 30pp to 59.5% in 24h
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp price jump on Polymarket’s $6K-volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 88pp to 92.5% with whale buying on July 12
Whales drove a $4K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumped sharply.
Jul 12
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton jump 19.5 points to 70.5%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 19.5 pp rise in YES price to 70.5%, signaling growing conviction on Count Binface’s performance.
Jul 10