Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s chances jump 25 points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the Cook Islands Party’s prospects in the 2026 election.
Jul 18
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
YES contract on FDV above $10M market jumps 56.9pp to 97.9% in 24 hours
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $6K net flow into YES, confirming the market’s rapid repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
Anthropic Fable 5 Paid Plan Removal Odds Plunge 20.5pp Despite Whale Bets
YES price for Anthropic removing paid plan access plummets from 21.5% to 1.0% as whale flow diverges from market move.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price drops 35.5 pp to 1.0% on Anthropic Fable 5 paid plan removal market
Whale trading diverged from the sharp 24-hour price plunge, signaling conflicting signals on Anthropic's Fable 5 paid plan status.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Surge 46.5pp to 72% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Polymarket’s “Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?” contract rallies sharply as whale flow backs the repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price on next Claude Opus release jumps 18pp to 58.5% as whale flow backs move
Polymarket’s “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?” market climbed from 40.5% to 58.5% YES in 24 hours with whale bets reinforcing the shift.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 41pp to 69.5% on Polymarket with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 41.0 percentage point rise in the probability that Syrskyi will be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by end of 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 24.1 pp to 95.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $6K net inflow into YES contracts amid $8K traded in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League jump 64.5 pp to 72.2% on Polymarket
Whales backed the rally with $8K net inflow into YES contracts, matching a strong 24-hour price surge.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Databricks hitting $180B valuation by July 31 plunge 41.1 pp as whale flow diverges
Databricks valuation market on Polymarket dropped sharply despite $4K whale buying, signaling a disconnect between price action and whale activity.
Jul 18