Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 76pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract on Iran military action drops from 85% to 9% despite whale bets moving oppositely.
Jul 10
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds collapse 79.6pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket price for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9 plummets from 84.7% to 5.1% despite whale activity moving opposite the sell-off.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 41 pp to 88%
Whale activity tracked the sharp market rise as odds for declassification soared in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI GPT 2026 model odds jump 21.5 points to 73% with $3K whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket for OpenAI’s GPT model scoring at least 1480 by end of 2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds collapse 80.2 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market slashed YES price from 85.2% to 5.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf action plunges 87.4 pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as the market for Iran military action on July 9 collapsed from 88.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 25.5 pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with a sharp 25.5 percentage point rise in the probability of Trump releasing new UFO files by July 15.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Jumps 39.5pp to 87.5% as Whale Bets Align
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged alongside whale bets, signaling strong conviction in a near-term release.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 46pp to 87%
Polymarket’s odds on Trump releasing new UFO files surged sharply alongside aligned whale buying, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton plunge 25.5 points to 65%
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket cut the implied probability for Binface’s finish
Jul 10