Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds slide 23.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Ethereum dip dropped from 84.0% to 60.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?’ YES price plunges 30.8 pp amid whale flow-price split
While the YES price collapsed from 32.3% to 1.5% in 24 hours, whales increased net bets by $5K, showing a notable divergence between price action and whale activity.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” YES price jumps 25pp to 90.5%
Polymarket's Bitcoin price target contract surged as whale trading aligned with the sharp upward repricing.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 65pp despite whale bets on YES
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw YES price collapse from 82.0% to 17.0% even as whales increased YES exposure.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price surges 50.4 pp to 99.0%
Whale activity matched the sharp odds shift as the market priced near certainty on UFO file release by mid-July.
Jul 10
Breaking
French 2026 United Left primary cancellation odds jump 22pp to 71.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing the market from near even to a strong majority for cancellation.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” YES price plunges 72pp to 12.7%
The market sharply cut odds despite whale buying diverging from the price drop, signaling trader skepticism amid $22K volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Bet Surges 19pp to 89.5% as Whale Flow Confirms Rally
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” contract gained sharply with whales backing the price move amid $81K in volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Surges 36.5pp to 83.5% on Whale-Aligned Buying
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” contract jumps sharply as whale activity backs rising odds.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 23pp to 67.5% amid whale selling
Despite a 23.0pp fall in the YES price, whale flow diverged by moving against the price shift in the Clacton by-election market.
Jul 10