Whales
Whales bet $808K on Belgium to win 2026 World Cup despite 0.05% market price
Large investors have pushed $808K into YES on Belgium, diverging sharply from the market's low implied probability.
Jul 11
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Linda Nosková’s Wimbledon 2026 odds jump 54.8 pp to 100% as whales back YES
Whale activity and price moved in sync with a $67K net inflow into YES contracts pushing odds from 45.1% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
Karolína Muchová Wimbledon 2026 YES price plunges 45.1pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Whale activity pushed $71K into YES contracts even as Polymarket prices the outcome sharply lower, highlighting a split market view.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket YES Price for Next GPT Model Score Plummets 92.1pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Despite a sharp 92.1 percentage point drop in the YES price, whale activity did not follow the selloff, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate Incumbents Market Jumps 15.1pp to 98.5% on Whale Buying
Whales added $3K into YES as Polymarket sharply reprices odds for two 2026 nominating defeats.
Jul 11
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 18 pp despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour sell-off in YES contracts on Polymarket’s Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Riz Ahmed Emmy Odds Drop 33pp to 16.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's market on Riz Ahmed winning an Emmy fell sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move, signaling conflicting views on his chances.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Add $195K to Spain 2026 World Cup Win Bets Despite 20.9% Market Price
Net whale flow into Spain's win market diverges from a lower implied probability in $103M volume arena closing in 10 days.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI model odds jump 30pp to 44.5% as whale buys support move
Polymarket’s “best Math AI model” market rises sharply with $6K whale net inflow confirming the price surge.
Jul 11
Breaking
Grok Model Market YES Price Plummets 85pp to 1.1% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged sharply from the dramatic drop in odds for xAI’s next Grok model debuting at 1460 or above by end of 2026.
Jul 11