Breaking
Pamela Evette’s Nominee Odds Drop 29.5 Points Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES price for Pamela Evette as South Carolina Senate nominee plunged from 36.0% to 6.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 14
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Daily
Polymarket Sees $29.51M in 24h Volume with 51,129 Active Wallets
Trading volume dips 60.9% below five-day average as World Cup 2026 markets dominate open interest.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 38.5 points to 78% on Polymarket
Whale buying and a 38.5 pp price surge pushed the market sharply higher to indicate growing confidence in a meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July odds drop 15.5pp despite $6K whale bets on YES
Whale activity and price moved in opposite directions as Polymarket YES odds fell from 61.5% to 46.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES price jumps 15.5 pp to 60%
Whales supported the surge with $6K net buys, pushing the contract sharply higher despite lower on-chain pricing.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 41pp to 78% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 41.0 percentage point rise in YES price to 78.0%, signaling growing confidence in a meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 42.4 points despite $17K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket odds on Iran's July 13 shipping attack.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 52.9pp to 85.7% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp price jump as the market re-assesses the likelihood of Iran striking on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 15pp in 24h
Whale trading diverges sharply from price, signaling conflicting views on maritime traffic odds by July 2026
Jul 13
Breaking
Houthis shipping attack odds jump 23pp to 37.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moved in sync as market reassessed risk of Houthis targeting shipping by July 31, 2026.
Jul 13