Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
The market on Houthis successfully targeting shipping by August 31, 2026, more than doubled in probability as large traders backed the move.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in the probability of a diplomatic meeting by mid-2026, signaling strong market conviction.
The market on Iran’s announcement of MOU withdrawal by August 15 saw a significant rise in YES price accompanied by aligned whale buying.
Despite a 21.0 pp decline in YES price, whales increased net buys by $61K, signaling conflicting market signals.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 17-point rise in the YES contract for Healey's 2026 appointment, signaling growing market conviction.
Ethereum reaching $1,900 in July fell from 68.5% to 50.5% despite $6K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Polymarket’s 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?' market saw YES price fall sharply despite $61K whale net buying, highlighting conflicting signals.
Polymarket’s “Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” market saw YES odds fall sharply while whales increased their YES exposure, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Polymarket's 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?' YES price fell sharply despite $61K whale net inflow.
Whale activity diverged from the sharp price decline, adding $13K net into YES despite a 19.5 pp fall in contract price.
