Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 36.5 points as whale buying diverges
YES contract on Iran targeting shipping dropped from 46.8% to 10.3% despite $5K whale inflows
Jul 14
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Unai Simón Golden Glove YES jumps 56pp to 82% with $5K whale support
Polymarket's 24-hour surge in confidence on Simón's award aligns with $5K whale net inflow and $12K total volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran shipping attack market YES price plunges 55.3pp despite $6K whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as YES odds dropped from 65.8% to 10.4% on July 13 event market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Unai Simón Golden Glove odds jump 58.5 points to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $5K net flow into YES amid $11K 24-hour volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for no next UK Home Secretary in 2026 plunge 38pp to 53.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whale buying diverged sharply from a major price drop, signaling uncertainty in the market for no next Home Secretary in 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Unai Simón Golden Glove YES jumps 52.5pp to 78% with $4K whale support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket, pushing odds well above on-chain mid.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? YES price plunges 39.0 pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket odds for US imposing Hormuz fees shifted sharply lower while whale bets moved against the price trend, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 49.9 pp on Polymarket
Despite a sharp drop in YES price, whale buying diverged by adding $36K to YES contracts over 24 hours
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz transit plunges 46.2pp while whales buy $36K into the market
Polymarket’s YES price on 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz drops from 92.7% to 46.5%, diverging sharply from whale buying activity.
Jul 14
Breaking
Argentina’s odds to score most goals at 2026 World Cup jump 44.9pp to 84.7%
Whale activity supported the sharp price rise, with $2K net bought into YES contracts amid $9K total volume.
Jul 14