Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market YES Price Plummets 45.5pp Despite $4K Whale Buy Flow
Whales increased YES bets by $4K even as the market price for ‘no next Foreign Secretary in 2026’ dropped sharply from 63.0% to 17.5%.
Jul 16
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
UK Home Secretary Market YES Price Drops 38pp Despite $7K Whale Buys
Whale buying of $7K in the past 24 hours diverged from a sharp 38pp decline in the YES price on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds jump 27pp to 58% with whale support
Polymarket’s market on Anthropic extending Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access by July 19 surged as whale activity reinforced the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds plunge 35.6pp to 46.5% despite $3K whale buy flow
A sharp 24-hour drop in YES price contrasts with whale buying on Polymarket’s Alibaba AI market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds plunge 30.2 pp to 52.0% despite $3K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 30.2 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Chinese AI model market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Messi Golden Ball Odds Surge 49.5pp to 90.5% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Polymarket’s market on Lionel Messi winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball jumps sharply as whale buying aligns with the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? YES odds plunge 73pp to 15%
The sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale activity, signaling a split in market conviction.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market YES Price Drops 21.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 21.5 percentage point decline in the market’s YES price for no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 70.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES price on Iran military action drops from 88.5% to 18.0% despite whale activity opposing the move
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran withdrawal from MOU odds drop 26.5 points despite $161K whale bets
Whale buying contrasts sharp 26.5 pp decline in odds for Iran withdrawing from MOU by July 31 on Polymarket.
Jul 15