The market on whether Tamas Sulyok will be out as President of Hungary by July 31 saw a dramatic repricing over the past 24 hours, with the YES price climbing 24.8 percentage points from an estimated 74.5% to 99.2%. This surge indicates a near-consensus among traders that the event will occur within the specified timeframe.
Whale activity aligned closely with this price movement, with a net $18K flowing into YES contracts. Whale buy volume reached $47K against $29K in sells, reflecting sustained demand from large players. A total of 69 unique whales contributed to this flow, signaling broad participation at the high end of the market.
Daily volume on Polymarket for this contract stood at $44K, slightly below the whale buy volume, suggesting whales dominated the trading activity during this period. Over the lifetime of the market, $227K has been traded by 476 unique traders, showing solid interest and liquidity.
The combined picture of a near-maximum YES price and strong whale backing suggests market participants have grown increasingly confident in the outcome. The alignment between price and whale flow reinforces the strength of this conviction rather than any speculative divergence.
| Market | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2698250 |
| 24h price change | +24.8 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 99.2% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 74.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 99.2% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $18K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $47K / $29K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 69 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $44K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 476 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.