Daily
$72.25M traded on Polymarket as activity dips below weekly average
Daily volume fell 17.8% below the prior 5-day average despite nearly 2.5 million trades across 489,775 markets.
Jul 9
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Whales
Whale Sells $7.58M on Ronaldo Not Crying, Against 67% Market Odds
A wallet with 70.5% accuracy bets $7.58M against Ronaldo crying at the World Cup, diverging from the broader whale flow.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales bet $1.47M on Switzerland at 2.1% in 2026 World Cup market
Large whale inflows into ‘Yes’ on Switzerland diverge sharply from market odds in a $117M volume event.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Add $255K to Argentina 2026 World Cup Win Bets Despite 19.4% Market Price
Whale buying diverges from current market odds, signaling a notable shift ahead of the market close in 13 days.
Jul 8
Whales
$800K Buy on Switzerland 2026 World Cup Win Defies 2.1% Market Odds
A single large purchase by 0x4fa1…885a bucks consensus in a high-volume World Cup Winner market.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales push $2.80M into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 2.1% price
Significant whale buying diverges from the market-implied 2.1% chance for Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Bet $4.82M on Egypt Winning 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
A $4.82M net inflow from whales into YES contrasts sharply with the market’s 0.05% implied probability for Egypt's 2026 World Cup victory.
Jul 8
Whales
$1.25M Bet Against Consensus on Egypt Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $1.25M backing Egypt’s longshot bid, diverging sharply from the market’s 0.05% implied probability.
Jul 8
Whales
@elmcap2 places $814K bet against 0.30% market odds on Iran MOU withdrawal
The trader’s $814K buy on a longshot outcome joins $1.23M whale buying in a market totaling $1.27M in volume.
Jul 8
Whales
Whale Buys $584K on Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, Joining $1.92M Whale Buy Flow
Top-10 ranked trader with 62.2% accuracy places a large $584K bet amid $2.22M total market volume on Rockies-Dodgers match.
Jul 8