Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price plunges 33.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 33.9 percentage point drop in the YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract Sees 38.1pp Drop in YES Price Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 38.1 percentage point decline in the YES price, whales added $8K net into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 38.4 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market saw YES contracts drop from 40.8% to 2.4% despite $6K whale buying over 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Burna Boy World Cup halftime show YES jumps 66.8pp to 98.4% on whale buying
Whales pushed $4K into YES as Polymarket odds soared from 31.5% to near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales bet $200K on France to win 2026 World Cup despite 31.9% market price
A net $200K whale inflow contrasts with the market’s 31.9% implied probability for France’s 2026 World Cup win.
Jul 9
PMX Index
PMX composite slips to 36.5 as crypto activity hits 37-day low
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index shows subdued market mood with lowest crypto activity in over a month.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales Load $583K on Morocco to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 2.8% Market Price
A $583K net whale inflow into Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win contrasts sharply with the market-implied probability of 2.8%.
Jul 9
Whales
$287K Whale Bet Challenges 8.5% Market Odds on Putin Exit by 2026
Top trader @ReedUpdatee places a large buy against the consensus in a $19.17M market with 68.2% accuracy record.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales Net $800K on Switzerland Win at 2.1% Market Price
Large traders have poured $800K into Switzerland winning the 2026 World Cup, diverging sharply from the market's 2.1% implied probability.
Jul 9
Whales
$500K bet on Mike Pence at 0.65% odds bucks Republican nominee market
A single wallet placed nearly $1M in wagers on low-probability GOP nominee outcomes, joining broader whale buying.
Jul 9