PMX composite slips to 36.5 as crypto activity hits 37-day low

The Polydata-exclusive PMX composite index stands at 36.5 on a 0-100 scale where 50 marks neutral, signaling a market mood below neutral. This reading reflects a subdued trading environment across prediction markets, with notable divergence among its component sub-indices.

Crypto-market activity, measured by the PMX-Crypto sub-index, registers a striking 13.2, marking its lowest level in 37 days. This sustained weakness in crypto-related market actions contrasts sharply with the PMX-Whale sub-index, which holds firm at 65.0, indicating relatively strong whale buy/sell balance. The gulf between these two extremes underscores an uneven market landscape rather than a uniform downturn.

Other sub-indices also contribute to the subdued composite: PMX-Volume is at 14.2, reflecting lower-than-normal trading volume versus its 30-day norm; PMX-Politics sits at 23.7, showing muted political-market activity; and PMX-Sentiment at 30.4 suggests below-neutral average market-implied probabilities.

This pattern reveals that while general market engagement and sentiment remain soft, large players maintain a more active presence. The PMX index’s proprietary design offers a unique, composite view of market dynamics by blending volume, whale positioning, political influence, crypto activity, and implied sentiment into a single gauge. The current readings suggest a market environment marked by cautious participation and selective activity rather than broad-based momentum.

Source: Polydata API v3 · /pmx-index · snapshot 2026-07-09. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.