Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds drop 25pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
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YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
Whales contributed a $6K net inflow to YES contracts as Polymarket’s odds surged, despite a 23.0% on-chain mid-price divergence.
Polymarket’s price for a July Bitcoin dip fell from 76% to 60% in 24 hours, even as whale activity diverged from the price move.
Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market sees YES contract fall sharply while whale activity flows into the same outcome, signaling conflicting signals on event likelihood.
Polymarket’s ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?’ market saw YES contract slip from 21.9% to 3.9% despite $8K whale buying in 24 hours.
Whale flows diverged sharply from price moves as Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' contract plunged in odds.
Polymarket’s YES price for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 52.0% while whales added $1K net into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Whale buying aligned with sharp price rise as market price climbs from 49.5% to 65.5%.
Whales pumped $6K into YES contracts, pushing Polymarket odds for SpaceX topping 2026 IPO market cap to 86.5%.
Whales bought $9K into YES contracts while market odds plunged from 22.8% to 2.1%, signaling a sharp mismatch between price action and large trader behavior.