Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17, 2026 Release Odds Drop 24.1pp to 7.2% on Polymarket
Whale buying diverged from sharp price decline, signaling mixed sentiment ahead of the July 17 release date.
Jul 9
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Iran MOU withdrawal by July 10 plunge 26.1 pp to 1.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from the steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Whales
$785K Bet Against Consensus on Sergio Pérez as 2026 F1 Champion
A single wallet wagered $785K on a longshot outcome priced at 0.15%, joining strong whale buying in the F1 Drivers' Champion market.
Jul 9
Whales
$478K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Switzerland World Cup Win, Market Implies 2.1%
Whales are betting heavily on Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite a low market price of 2.1%.
Jul 9
Whales
$478K Whale Bet Bucks 2.1% Market Odds on Switzerland 2026 World Cup Win
A high-accuracy trader places a large wager against consensus on Switzerland’s longshot World Cup bid amid strong whale buying.
Jul 9
Whales
$400K Whale Flow Backs France Despite 32.0% Market Price on 2026 World Cup Win
A $400K net inflow from whales into France’s 2026 World Cup win contrasts with the market’s 32.0% implied probability amid $104.28M volume.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract YES Price Drops 29.3pp Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased their net $4K YES bets even as Polymarket’s YES price fell sharply from 41.1% to 11.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales net $454K into Morocco 2026 World Cup win as market prices YES at 3.1%
Large traders have purchased $4.15M in bets on Morocco winning, diverging from the market’s low probability pricing.
Jul 9
Breaking
Will OpenAI’s valuation hit $1.0T by December 31? YES odds plunge 43.5pp to 34.0%
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 24-hour price drop, highlighting market disagreement on OpenAI's trillion-dollar valuation.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 16.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 16.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $6K, signaling mixed signals on Iran's July 9 targeting.
Jul 9