Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Polymarket’s question on Claude Opus release sees a sharp 28pp decline in YES price despite neutral whale activity, highlighting a split between retail momentum and large traders.
Max Martin’s attendance at Taylor Swift’s wedding now priced at 59.6% after a strong 24-hour surge backed by whale buying.
Polymarket’s price for 'Like a Prayer' as the first 2026 World Cup halftime song fell sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting market signals.
YES price on Polymarket fell from 57.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged, pushing $11K volume.
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 25 percentage-point fall in the market's YES price, signaling conflicting signals on Allam's chances.
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 36pp plunge in odds for ‘Like a Prayer’ leading the 2026 FIFA World Cup halftime show.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price increase, driving $576K net into YES contracts in 24 hours.
Whales bought $13K in YES contracts even as market price dropped from 56.8% to 8.2% over 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw a sharp 52.5 percentage point drop in YES price despite $9K whale net inflow into YES contracts, highlighting a rare divergence between price moves and whale activity.
Whales supported a sharp 51 percentage point jump in Mbappe’s top goalscorer market with $555K net inflow amid $1.31M daily volume.
