Whales
@blkmont places $1.01M bet on Switzerland to win 2026 FIFA World Cup at 2.1% odds
A wallet with 76.3% accuracy backs a low-probability World Cup outcome, joining broader whale buying on Polymarket.
Jul 7
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whales
$280K Bet Against Consensus on Braves vs. Pirates Market by Top Wallet
A $280K purchase by @ferrariChampions2026 contrasts with a 42.5% market-implied probability, signaling a significant wager against prevailing odds.
Jul 7
Whales
$255K Buy Order Hits “Will James Talarico Win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”
A $255K bet by @Patz3 on a 0.85% probability outcome joins whale buying in a $2.25M market.
Jul 7
Whales
$1.25M Buy Order on Ronaldo Crying Market Joins Whale Flow Despite 68.5% Probability
A major wallet returned after 20 days with a $1.25M buy on Ronaldo crying, aligning with dominant whale activity amid $18.26M total volume.
Jul 7
Whales
$391K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Portugal World Cup Win at 0.05% Market Price
Whales have bought $4.17M versus $822K sold on Portugal’s 2026 World Cup win, diverging sharply from the 0.05% market-implied probability.
Jul 7
Markets
“Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” Tops Sports Markets with $146.60M Volume
The market is the highest-volume sports market on Polymarket, part of a $3.72B event with over 138,000 traders.
Jul 7
Daily
Polymarket Sees $81.38M in 24h Volume with 78,005 Active Wallets
Trading volume dips 11.2% below five-day average as 2.24M trades execute across nearly half a million markets
Jul 7
Whales
0x314a…80f6 places $2.81M bet against consensus on Egypt winning 2026 World Cup
The trade stands out for its size and the wallet’s 95.2% accuracy record in resolved markets, joining broad whale buying pressure.
Jul 7
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Dallas’s 93.2°F–102.3°F high
London leads with $62.13M in volume while Dallas shows the widest forecast spread, signaling unsettled conditions.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Net $539K Into YES on Portugal to Win 2026 World Cup at 0.05% Price
Despite a market-implied probability of just 0.05%, whales have poured $539K net into Portugal's 2026 World Cup win in the past 24 hours, signaling a notable divergence between large trader behavior and market pricing.
Jul 7