Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price plunges 33.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 33.9 percentage point drop in the YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract Sees 38.1pp Drop in YES Price Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 38.1 percentage point decline in the YES price, whales added $8K net into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 38.4 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market saw YES contracts drop from 40.8% to 2.4% despite $6K whale buying over 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Burna Boy World Cup halftime show YES jumps 66.8pp to 98.4% on whale buying
Whales pushed $4K into YES as Polymarket odds soared from 31.5% to near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
$500K bet on Mike Pence at 0.65% odds bucks Republican nominee market
A single wallet placed nearly $1M in wagers on low-probability GOP nominee outcomes, joining broader whale buying.
Jul 9
Daily
$72.25M traded on Polymarket as activity dips below weekly average
Daily volume fell 17.8% below the prior 5-day average despite nearly 2.5 million trades across 489,775 markets.
Jul 9
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Seattle’s 69.9°F–79.5°F high
London leads with $62.13M traded, but Seattle’s 9.6°F forecast spread signals the most uncertainty among 39 city markets.
Jul 9
Whales
$1.25M Bet Against Consensus on Egypt Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $1.25M backing Egypt’s longshot bid, diverging sharply from the market’s 0.05% implied probability.
Jul 8
Daily
Polymarket Hits $103.04M Volume in 24 Hours, Top Markets Draw Over $140M Each
Volume surged 23.7% above the prior five-day average as active wallets topped 72,000, marking the week’s busiest day.
Jul 8
Whales
$2.93M Whale Buy on Ronaldo Cry Market Against 62.0% Probability
A single large $2.93M bet from @elmcap2 on Ronaldo crying at the World Cup contrasts with the market’s 62.0% implied probability, joining a strong whale buying trend.
Jul 7