Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 68.5pp to 11.5% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move.
Jul 9
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 48pp to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched a sharp 48 percentage point rise in the market’s probability for declassification by mid-July.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Collapse 61.7 Points Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw YES contract prices plunge from 76.5% to 14.8% while whale flow diverged, signaling skepticism among large traders.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 75.8pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?' market saw a sharp 75.8pp drop in YES price amid whale flow opposing the move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Jumps 45pp to 81.5% as Whale Bets Align
A sharp 45 percentage-point rise in the Trump UFO files market saw whale flows move in tandem with price, signaling strong conviction among large traders.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 59.9pp as whale flow diverges sharply
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw a steep drop in YES price despite whale bets moving against the trend.
Jul 9
Breaking
YES price on Trump UFO files jumps 38pp to 74.5% as whale flow backs move
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged with whales aligning their bets to the rally, signaling rising confidence in disclosure.
Jul 9
Breaking
Yes price on GPT model debut score slips 18pp to 35.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whales increased bets on the GPT model scoring 1480+ by 2026 despite a sharp market price drop, signaling conflicting signals on optimism.
Jul 9
Breaking
YES price on Trump UFO files jumps 48.5 points to 85% as whale activity backs move
Polymarket’s contract on Trump declassifying UFO files by July 15 saw a major repricing with whale bets confirming the surge.
Jul 9
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 26.5pp despite whale buying
Price on Count Binface finishing second in Clacton by-election fell from 91.5% to 65.0% amid whale buying that diverged from the price move.
Jul 9